While his season-long ERA (3.63) remained solid, his 4.18 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) is more indicative of how he pitched. However, he struggled to close out the year with a 9.30 ERA across six starts in August and September.

The righty has been lights out in his two postseason starts thus far, allowing just a pair of runs while striking out 15 across 13.2 innings. On the opposite side, I'm really into Houston's chances against Nathan Eovaldi. From the All-Star break onward, the Rangers ranked just 16th in wOBA (.316) and 13th in ISO (.170) while striking out at the 14th-highest clip (23.6%) in that split. While Texas does boast a lethal offense, they quietly struggled against southpaws over the second half of the year. While Texas pegged him for six runs in 3.2 innings during one of those starts, he held them to just a pair of earned runs in the other two starts' 13.0 innings. He faced the Rangers three times during the regular season. He picked up three wins across 25.0 innings of work last postseason, posting a 1.44 ERA and 34.4% strikeout rate in the process. Valdez has also proven it on the biggest stage as well. His 4.3 WAR was among the 12-best pitcher WARs in the league, and his 3.39 expected FIP ranked seventh. Even with some second-half struggles, Valdez finished the regular season with a 3.45 ERA, a 24.8% strikeout rate, and a 54.2% groundball rate. Yes, Valdez got rocked in his only other start this postseason.Īnd yes, Valdez posted a 4.66 ERA over the second half of the season.īut I'm not worried about those small sample sizes. The Houston Astros may have dropped their series opener to the Texas Rangers, but I'm expecting them to even the series tonight.įor starters, the Astros have their ace, Framber Valdez, on the bump. Texas Rangers at Houston Astros Astros ML (-124) Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Using numberFire's projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?

Outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive - or negative - regression. Baseball has you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.įrom moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule daily.

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